Confirmed; Bruce Stays!

Good grief, what is Edens wearing!
I heard this while watching the BBC local news and have to say straight off that I believe it’s the right decision for the club, if maybe not for our footy.

I tried to read the statement on the OS, but of course, the site timed out.
What do they use for broadband, I wonder; steam?
It’s probably BT.

Apart from the decision being right, I also believe it’s the moral thing to do, after the news came about that Thierry Henry had agreed to take over as manager.
For what it’s worth, I believe that story was probably true. I’ve no doubt Henry had agreed in principal to take over if indeed the new majority owners decided to change manager.
And I’d bet that this sort of thing happens all the time, in the background.
But we don’t usually get to hear about it, as the unwritten rule is that you never discuss someone’s job while they’re still in it.
Which is where I have to ask myself who leaked the story to the press?

I very much doubt it would be any of the owners, as that’s just not the way sucessful people do business.
So my pure guess is that it’s come from Henry’s advisor.
And actually might have shot Henry’s chances in the foot, in the short term anyway.
You only have to read the criticism on here and other sites about how the whole thing was just wrong.

But not only is it the morally correct thing to do, it just makes sense.
Bringing in a totally inexperienced manager, this late on would have been a massive mistake.

And then there’s the amount of money it would cost the club to sack Bruce, which was anywhere upwards of £1.5 million, if the press are to be believed.
Having thought about it, that contract payment still doesn’t make sense.
Why would you have a one year rolling contract, if it involves another six months severance pay on top?
Answer, you wouldn’t.
That’s the whole point. After each year, the contract is looked at again and if either party is unhappy, it’s terminated.

Which is quite handy for the owners, given that Bruce’s contract runs out in October.
It’s gives them time to see how Bruce gets on.
And if he looks to be failing, they can sack him, safe in the knowledge that Henry will probably be sat on the sidelines and they’re not seen to be totally ruthless, in bringing in an unexperienced manager, while not giving Bruce a chance.

Being totally pragmatic, it’s a win-win for the club.
But I genuinely hope Bruce gets us off to a flyer, as that’s all that matters.
But trying to play better footy would probably help his cause too.

99 Comments

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  1. Holte66
    Holte66 July 25, 2018 at 9:41 pm . Reply

    Not much to be taken from these friendlies other than getting as many players game time as possible. I’m sure Bruce is getting a feeling now who is first eleven will be. I like the look of Doyle Hayes and Green is looking sharp. Don’t know if Steer can make the grade but it’s still early days. Everyone in our squad has to be considered. I agree with comments that it’s looking more likely that Grealish will stay considering he always starts. It wouldn’t make sense if he wasn’t part of Bruce’s plans. It would be refreshing if new owners came out and said no one is for sale unless Bruce wants them out.

  2. nath
    nath July 25, 2018 at 9:45 pm . Reply

    first off i think the new owners were correct to stick with bruce for now.

    the game tonight. well it was a yardstick and perhaps which should rename that to milestick. hammers were miles ahead of villa, they had better pressing and better shapes with and without ball. bright notes for us hayes was only player of villa to not look out of place.

    notes of concern or panic kodjia what can i say that i havent already said. hes not the same player. i don’t know what is wrong but i would play a road cone before him. seriously he was bad nothing sticks , he has no movement to other for a pass, he is always on his heels and we look dangerous when he went off not because we replaced him with somebody better, but we replaced him with somebody prepared to put a shift in.

    steer is a decent keeper in my day where you never kicked the ball. but today goalies need to be good a kicking or distribution. he is pathetic at kicking and villa players know this but still play it back to him. they also don’t drop back to receive ball making him kick long to the road cone upfront .

    this was a good test tonight. i learned nothing new, i saw these problems in the other warm up games. hopefully now they will be addressed.

  3. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 25, 2018 at 9:57 pm . Reply

    In answer to its only a friendly ffs, I was taught in any game was to win, it wouldn’t go amiss if that was inbred in some of our player’s. Again we have players that are not good enough and we play them. Them youngsters That came on are far better than the seniors, play the players for god sake.

    1. nath
      nath July 25, 2018 at 10:08 pm . Reply

      results don’t matter bill. but the patterns of play with and without the ball do matter. watching us i see a broken team at present. disjointed displays not fluent. but we have time to address these problems. pre season is mostly about fitness and is a time to iron out new systems or work on your tactics.

      we are playing long from past habits and ppl say this is bruce, but i can hear bruce shouting to pass the ball and somebody to offer the throw out to goalie.

      doyles hayes is a midfielder that can pick his passes and needs runners, himself he always makes sure other players have him as options. we need more players like him. we have players that want to hit long hopeful passes to nobody.

    2. Hitchens60
      Hitchens60 July 26, 2018 at 6:57 am . Reply

      Bill that ff’s sake comment wasn’t directed at you but at the WH fans for ‘mocking’ us in a friendly game – apologies if you felt I was having a go at you. Whilst I agree we should always strive to win, pre season form in friendlies means nothing come start of the season.

      I agree with Nath over Kodjia yet the Mail thought ‘he ran the channels well, proved a threat all night and the (West Ham) defenders had trouble containing him’ – I kid you not. Which game were they watching?

      1. Bill Pearson
        Bill Pearson July 26, 2018 at 8:14 am . Reply

        Hitch, honestly I know that wasnt meant to me , It was more of a terminology expression, the neighbour who is a West ham fan from top to toe and came from that neck of the woods . I couldn’t have a better friend, were good mate its me and wanting us to win, I never ever give up when I’m competitive in any sport..

  4. Benno
    Benno July 26, 2018 at 12:59 am . Reply

    Defence looked shakey tonight. We need to find a decent partner for Chester and stop this 3 5 2 crap. We also need to stop playing players out of position.

    Even without anyone coming in we still have one of the best squads in the league. Having Green back is like a new signing too. Bruce has no excuses for a slow start this season.

  5. Andrew
    Andrew July 26, 2018 at 3:20 am . Reply

    Horrible news but completely expected.

    My biggest question is does Bruce really plan on making Hutton and Taylor center backs? In what world is Adomah a wingback? This can’t be the crap we’re going with, can it? An average at best Championship side isn’t going to beat out a Pellegrini side no matter who he manages, he’s just smarter and better, and West Ham overall are a better side, obviously. But my word we’ve learned enough from the last couple seasons that a back 3 doesn’t work. It failed the few times Lambert used it and it’ll fail again, especially using average at best fullbacks as center backs and a winger as a wingback.

    I will however be happy to see Doyle-Hayes finally getting a shot. Well should’ve had it last season but this season is a must for him.

  6. Singapore Villan
    Singapore Villan July 26, 2018 at 6:40 am . Reply

    Putting the team and pre-season to one side for a moment and to get back to the new owners.
    These are very smart cookies (more than anyone here), you don’t get to be a multi-billionaire though bad decisions or misinformation. Dr Tony is also a Billionaire but he has fallen foul of curencny restrictions not allowing him to inject fresh capital from China, resulting in critical cash flow issues and hence needing to sell 55% of his equity for the club to survive.
    The new owners were probably looking for an English or European club to buy/invest in, this wouldn’t have been a knee jerk decision.
    They will have done due diligence and been through the books (balance sheet, assets, liabilities, PnL, cash and cash flow positions) they will know that we are ‘debt free’ but cash poor with higher operating costs (mostly due to salaries).
    Dr Tony had a plan (we won’t know the details but obviously hinged on Premier League and also redevelopment of north stand as well as additional revenue streams). Most of this is probably still relevant but we will get further opportunities that these investors bring in, expanding the franchise and revenue (Middle East & US fan base added to Chinese opportunity, advertising and sponsorship with their other businesses and contacts ie Addidas as an example, they will also bring additional and much needed ‘smarts’ into the club operations and management).
    They would not be doing this for a quick buck, they are also not asset strippers. They see this as a strategic move to increase their overall business and franchises and this hinges on Premier League and the huge funds and marketing this offers).
    I would expect them to already have started a 5 year planning exercise with imediate focus being on 3.6 & 12 month objectives and funding the team, they will have the smarts to navigate any FFP issues until the revenue increases. Once the dead wood is finally gone (Richards, McCormack etc) the final building for the future can really begin.
    The future is very bright we now have 3 multi billionaires in charge of our club, funding and competing for assets will no longer be a problem.
    This season is still about getting out of this division which they will support, they didn’t buy the club to stay in the championship, have a little more patience and of course, keep the faith.

    1. Bill Pearson
      Bill Pearson July 26, 2018 at 8:23 am . Reply

      Singapore Villan I like it good post.

      1. Singapore Villan
        Singapore Villan July 26, 2018 at 11:51 am . Reply

        Thanks Bill, trying to keep on topic and address any misconceptions

        1. Bum Bum
          Bum Bum July 26, 2018 at 3:43 pm . Reply

          Very good points made. I wonder if Bill has his big check suit on today, like our new owner??? 😊
          I do think our three owners seem to have a bit more football brains. It’s essential if u need to understand the game.

          1. Singapore Villan
            Singapore Villan July 26, 2018 at 4:15 pm . Reply

            I guess thinking this through leads to another prospect.
            The reported £30m paid for 55% does not go to the club but obviously to the Dr for the sale of his equity.
            But this does mean now that the Dr has funds onshore to invest in the club.
            Have the 55% of shares been purchased equally (ie 27.5% each or through another company that owns the 55% or have the two different equity stakes eg 30 % and 25%. Who knows ?)

            What maybe not understood is that the shareholders would need to inject fresh capital in equal ratio so if £100m was injected into the club for working capital and transfer kitty then the new owenrss would have fo provide £55m and the Dr £45m. It’s not the same as having a single owner like before.
            Im sure the Dr is playing the long game, once we get back to EPL and with a few successful seasons the club value might be for instance £300m, the Drs 45% would then be worth £135m, roughly twice what he paid and he also got a £30m dividend from selling 55%.
            Interesting dynamics and shows substantial cash over and above the current sale is needed.

          2. Hitchens60
            Hitchens60 July 26, 2018 at 10:39 pm . Reply

            I had a look at this Badger as I had assumed £1 shares but if you look at Companies House the number of shares issued or available for issue is very large. I haven’t actually calculated the individual share price but it’s probably nearer 5p per share.

            The other assumption is that Sawiris / Edens purchased shares from Dr T but I suggest this is incorrect and they purchased additional share issue which diluted Dr T’s holding with the £30m used to purchase the shares increasing the shareholders funds i.e. providing working capital. Future working capital investment would require Dr. T to match 45% to their 55% otherwise Sawiris / Edens would acquire additional issued share capital further diluting Dr T’s holding. On that basis, ultimately they could buy him out for a fraction of his investment.

            In my view this is the most likely structure which allows Dr. T to retain a face saving investment (partial ownership) for which he receives no cash but the club substantially increases it’s working capital and strengthens its balance sheet (I believe this latter point helps with FFP)

            Singapore Villan / OLL?

          3. Hitchens60
            Hitchens60 July 27, 2018 at 6:46 am . Reply

            At the risk of boring everyone I should add that Dr T diluting his holding is a better deal for all parties than him selling shares he currently owns. It also aligns with comments about stepped investment / ownership by Sawiris / Edens over time.

            The benefit for Dr T is that he hasn’t yet crystallised any losses and if we can get promoted this year (and stay in the prem) the ‘value’ of the club will start to rise. Even with a diluted position Dr T’s shares will start to increase in value thus reducing his loss position. The risk for Dr T. is the degree of dilution suffered calculated on an equation between time, the call on shareholders for additional funds and promotion – but then we know he’s a risk taker!

  7. Hitchens60
    Hitchens60 July 26, 2018 at 7:00 am . Reply

    Read Snodgrass post game comments. If ever there was a ‘come and get me’ plea that was it.

    So messrs Sawiris and Edens – go get him please.

  8. nath
    nath July 26, 2018 at 7:30 am . Reply

    system 352 is not the problem, ppl thought it was defensive on this site and others before. but if played correctly its very very attacking. if played badly it can be very defensive. that lays the problem. its not just we don’t have the players. its not that simple. its the type of players we have thats the problem.

    watch hayes with or without the ball, without the ball he moves around. not aimlessly, but he supports any player close by who has the ball. its called giving them options. when he has the ball ( he also demands the ball in tight areas) he has good control and good range of passing and he looks forward first and passes through the lines most importantly he is successful at his passes 9 times out of ten.

    other players are not as good, they don’t like the press and they panic and launch it long. we have too many players like this in the team. now we have three defenders and none of which are comfortable on the ball, which is why hes trying different types of players their. like jedi and the fullbacks.

    we have a major problem trying to play 352. one our goalie cant distribute the ball with his feet. in all the friendlies hes hopeless with his feet. his other keeping duties isnt too bad. but 352 he will need better distribution. also the 3 defenders need to be able to play out from the back and also be able to defend. we got pressed by burton and hammers and both times we panic and boot it aimless down field and gave up possession

    another problem is like hitch said kodjia, everything last night and in the other friendlies. he doesn’t run the channels thats bulshit. he stands still and offers nothing. granted the balls to him are aimless placed and nobodies balls but the defenders, but he lacks movement. hayes found grealish lots of times in forward areas. because grealish makes space for himself to receive such forward passes. and hayes is good enough to feed such balls in the split seconds it requires to pull off the move. kodija isnt alive enough to make these moves. he stands still and never looks to get involved

    i know its friendlies results dont matter. but i think bill and others and myself are concerned with our approaches in all the games. hammers and burton were good friendlies they showed us problems. its up to us to fix them cause its promotion this year

    1. Hitchens 60
      Hitchens 60 July 26, 2018 at 12:32 pm . Reply

      Nath are we really playing 3-5-2. Looked more like 3-5-1-1 with Grealish in the hole. If we r going to play 3-5-2 we need two strikers on the pitch which Grealish is not.

      1. nath
        nath July 26, 2018 at 2:03 pm . Reply

        yeah i think your right. grealish was i think supposed to be close to kodjia, but he drifted back in search of the ball so all ends up, we played 361. grealish isn’t a striker and will always float around.

        i think we are trying to play like england tried. sterling in the grealish role and kodjia in the kane role. they are not playing as two out and out strikers, trouble with villa trying to play this system. is kodija doesn’t offer any platform. like kane did. and sterling offered a threat behind and grealish comes short.

        the system can work for us, but we need more from kodjia. anybody noticed we made inroads into hammers defence when kodjia was subbed late on. thats no coincidence, its movement and willingness to make space for yourself and pure effort

  9. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 26, 2018 at 8:28 am . Reply

    Your right Nath, I heard Bruce barking out instructions, its that not taking on a player that gets me, we still have them that want to play safe, Bree Taylor make me pull my hair out ,we must have better player’s that game was no different from last year’s.

    1. Sidforever
      Sidforever July 26, 2018 at 6:55 pm . Reply

      Great feedback on tactics. I find Kodjia irritating. He is a selfish player, above and beyond a typical striker. I would not shed a tear if we sold him.

      Personally I like Davis. I think his ability to hold the ball up and then off load to a midfielder is very good. He is also good in th air. I would expect his finishing to improve this season.

      I hope this year some of the U23 strikers can be given a chance and step up to the plate, such as Hepburn-Murphy.

      Would Davis / Hogan up front work?

  10. Holte66
    Holte66 July 26, 2018 at 6:56 pm . Reply

    Talking tactics, my preferred formation if we play Kodja is a 4 4 1 1 with hopefully a new goalie De Laet Hutton Chester Elphick Bjarnasson Doyle Hayes or Hourihane Adomah Green Grealish (if not sold) Kodja. If Bruce wants to stick with 3 5 2 then we need Hogan up front to offer movement. On a bright note it looks like Chester is staying thanks to Bruce being kept on.

  11. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 26, 2018 at 9:28 pm . Reply

    Glad you never picked Taylor or Bree, if their two players that need to up the game its them two. Chester one of my favourite like you want him to stay, .

    1. Holte66
      Holte66 July 26, 2018 at 11:30 pm . Reply

      Bill, I think Taylor is poor pretty much every game I have seen him play. Bree is still young so can improve hopefully. And another goalie signed on loan today could mean an end to austerity. We still need to offload a few for FFP. Trouble is the big earners like McCormack, Richards and Lansbury will be almost impossible to shift which is why Grealish is most likely to go. He cost us nothing and can bring £25m minimum which will be key.

  12. Andrew
    Andrew July 27, 2018 at 4:31 am . Reply

    It’s not whether 3-5-2 is defensive, because that’s not the problem. 3-5-2 doesn’t work because we don’t have a single wingback. A wingback is someone like Sandro, Zuniga, Armero, etc. Not Bree, Hutton, Adomah, etc. Plus you need 3 quality center backs. We have 1 in Chester. There’s a reason why few teams play it. It worked with Chiellini, Bonucci and Barzagli because Chiellini is a beast, Barzagli is a defensive monster and Bonucci can play on the ball. Worked at Napoli with Campagnaro, Cannavaro and another center back for similar reasons. You need three real center backs, two with great defensive abilities and one that can play with the ball. We have 1 center back. 1.

    1. Originallondonlion
      Originallondonlion July 27, 2018 at 7:31 am . Reply

      Correct. Hutton was poor at RB, poor at LB and now we are trying him at CB! Why he has a contract at all beats me, he was the culprit at Wembley.
      Wingbacks or wingers need to carry a goal-scoring threat themselves. If they cannot cut inside and shoot accurately – all they can do instead is loft a cross from the wing. That is the easiest threat to deal with.

      Currently the ball goes wide to the outside CB, the WB ahead of him moves to the wing, the ball is delivered there, and the opposing defence is all in position. The cross is dealt with. That pattern is repeated over and over and carries no threat unless a defender makes a mistake. Villa threaten to score only when they intercept a pass by an opposing defender and at that instant can play a pass that takes out 2 defenders.

      1. Hitchens60
        Hitchens60 July 27, 2018 at 7:45 am . Reply

        You forgot to mention Hutton’s the only remaining member of the bomb squad which means you are still subject to your self imposed exile! LOL

        1. Originallondonlion
          Originallondonlion July 28, 2018 at 8:18 pm . Reply

          I am Hitch and I haven’t spent a penny on watching Villa since I named my bomb squad – and won’t until Hutton has left or is nowhere near selection.

          1. Hitchens60
            Hitchens60 July 28, 2018 at 11:24 pm . Reply

            Respect your honesty and consistency on that OLL. For my part, I think Hutton has earned respect from the fans. No, he’s not perfect by any stretch but he has shown absolute and 100% commitment to the shirt.

            If Hutton were to leave tomorrow, by your own rules, you would then go to watch the team. I submit that Richards, Tshbola and McCormack are no better and arguably much worse – the new ‘bomb squad’.

            I think you need to broaden your exile horizons! (LOL)

  13. nath
    nath July 27, 2018 at 10:26 am . Reply

    actual wing backs or old traditional wingers or fullbacks can all function in the system 352. the main attribute would be good stamina and probably good ball carrier. they are the players that will do the most mileage. talking about wingers that converted to wing back and improved moses at chelsea. players at the club who have played at wing back loads would be elmo funny how ppl exclude these when naming players that they think cant play wing back at the club

    its pointless arguing about other players in other clubs that are better, when the manager can only pick the players we have in the squad. we have players who can play the wing backs and my worry is the back 3 in the system 352. the goalie if thats steer and kodjia.

    if the formation is the only worry this season i will be happy. love to know what formation other poster want bruce to play and why.

  14. nath
    nath July 27, 2018 at 10:33 am . Reply

    this is the goalie we apparently signed on loan last night

    Villa are yet to make a signing this summer, but are set to bring in their first new face in the form of Andre Moreira

    anybody know anything about him

    wouldnt surprise me if we got a striker and a defender also

  15. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 27, 2018 at 11:30 am . Reply

    He’s reputedly 6’7″ Nath, we’ll need him to counter our full backs. We need a creative midfielder if we’ve lost Grealish. But what do I know.

  16. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 27, 2018 at 11:35 am . Reply

    Sorry , that’s our goalie he’s 6’5″ this one his taller.

    With the departure of John Terry and Chris Samba this summer, Steve Bruce knows that he needs to secure reinforcements at the back.

    He should look no further than Dan Burn. The Wigan Athletic man mountain has only one year left on his contract and would jump at the chance to play for a side higher up the league.

    The 6ft 7in centre-back was nearly ever-present in a Wigan side that secured a triumphant return to the Championship at the first time of asking. Conceding a mere 29 goals across the 46 games, Wigan’s defensive solidity ensured that promotion was never in doubt. It even transferred to the FA Cup where Burn captained the side in their stunning 5th round 1-0 victory against Manchester City.

    The regard he is held at the club is evident by his role as club vice-captain. While Sam Morsy remains the club captain, Burn has been on hand to lead the Latics out whenever he is absent. It is of little surprise. Burn has experience from the Premier League to League One and has consistently proved to be a model professional.

  17. nath
    nath July 27, 2018 at 12:02 pm . Reply

    cheers bill

    goalie was a must if they are attempting to play out from the back. steer has a square foot. shame really he will have to work on that part of his game.

    that wigan defender is in his last year,. so we would require a fee to buy i doubt we will go for him. we are short in some areas and with whats left of window we need to strengthen that is clear to see from the warm up games.

  18. nath
    nath July 27, 2018 at 2:32 pm . Reply

    for those that said ignore ffp its only loose change fine lol qpr were fined 42 million for their over spending.

  19. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson July 27, 2018 at 2:38 pm . Reply

    I’ve just seen QPR been find 17 million over ffp, albeit was on facebook and a poster corrected him saying point’s would be taken off . anyone heard ?.

    1. nath
      nath July 27, 2018 at 2:39 pm . Reply

      my sources are same unreliable, but we should hear soon the proper figures.

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