Villa – Blues; The big one’s back again!

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Well, it’s certainly a big one for the blues fans and definitely their cup final this season, regardless of what happens, isn’t it?
Because if they do beat us, even if they were to get relegated this season, they’d still think beating us was more important.

Now I know it sounds like I’m coming from some superior place, but beating Birmingham city isn’t that big a deal to me any more, it really isn’t.
And no, I haven’t gone mad; let me explain.

While of course, I’d love us to beat city and indeed give them a right good thrashing that would send them home with their tails in between their legs, it just isn’t the same when you’re playing in different leagues.
We’re expected to beat them, so what’s to be gained if we win? There’s the fact that it keeps them quiet and in their rightful place, of course.
And there’s the fact that if they win, we never hear the end of it, whatever league they’re in and it’s a stick they can beat us with.
So basically it’s more about bragging rights, to which I would expect many of you to say “that’s all it’s about”.
Which is fair enough, I suppose.
But if we were to lose, I’d just see it on a par as losing to Milwall or Orient.
Simply progressing to the next round is more important, regardless of who we beat.

So onto the game itself and I expect nothing other than the City team to go all out to win this.
Gary Rowett (the Villa fan?)’s got them going pretty well, especially when you look at the precarious position the club’s in. They’re currently sat at seventh in the championship, with a game in hand over the clubs above them.
The fans I’ve spoken to are very happy, tell me they’re playing well and many seem to think the play-offs are in the realms of reality. So it’s all good on their part.

Whereas, things aren’t so good for us.
We’ve acquired less points than I think we’ve deserved up to now and indeed are sat on only four out of six games.
That’s simply not good enough and there’s an air of malaise beginning to set back in, which even led to booing on Saturday.
I believe it’s way too early for that sort of stuff yet, but it’s by the by.
Suffice to say, we’re not at the top of things and it’s probably a perfect time for the enemy to be playing us.

Squad news then, and Birmingham have Neil Eardly out with a shoulder injury.

As for us, the bad news is that Gana, who seemed to be borderline for Saturday’s game has flown back to France for further treatment to his Hamstring.
Which begs the question what on earth happened there then?
Anyway, it’s definitely not good as he’s been massively missed.
Okore’s knee is still troubling the player and Traore is still doubtful, which might be a good thing as perhaps he’d just get kicked to bits again?
Otherwise, I think we’re ok, which still leaves Tim Sherwood with options.

So what to think?
I’m sure I read a passing comment that Rowett left quite a few of his main players out for their last game (but might be wrong), so they’re probably going to come with their strongest line-up.
If that is the case, I’d expect Sherwood to react similarly, with only a few changes.
Clark will probably come in, but I wonder if that might be part of a 3/5 at the back?

I’m not sure what could happen in the middle and I’d expect it to be similar to Saturday.

I’d expect a change up top though, with Sinclair rested and Gestede to start.
Not ideal for me, but we all know Gabby is guaranteed a start for some reason.
Which would mean what, we sit back, let them come at us and counter, hitting the ball long to Gestede or relying on Gabby to run at them?
Surely not?
And hopefully I’ve got that all wrong.
Still, we have to be pragmatic and the result is all important, I guess.

What’s my prediction then?

Well, as I’ve said, they’re on a high, whereas we’re somewhat at a low ebb.
Things haven’t gone for us lately (although a fair bit of it has been self-inflicted) and there’s massive pressure on the Villa team, something I feel will go against us, more than anything else.

Which just makes this a massive game. We need to restore some confidence and only a win will do.
Lose this and the fans will be on the manager’s back and that can only be a bad thing.

As I suggested, it’s not just about beating the blues.
This game could make or break our season and to me, that’s just more important.

Unfortunately, I’ll be delightfully surprised if we win this, as I think we’re going to lose.
They have things going for them and we don’t, which sometimes is what it comes down too, it’s as simple as that.

1-2, but I sincerely hope I’m wrong.

I’ve added a poll.

75 Comments

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  1. Dave.C
    Dave.C September 22, 2015 at 11:15 am . Reply

    I’m coming up from darkest Herefordshire tonight so I hope the road works coming off the M6 down into Star City have now finished, it’s the closest free parking I can find!
    On the match. I’m like Badger, very worried, I think Gary Rowett’s doing a great job there, in fact I wish we could swap him for Tim, he is a Villa fan after all!
    Villa to win 2-1, but it’ll be one helluva battle!

  2. Dave.C
    Dave.C September 22, 2015 at 11:51 am . Reply

    Thanks for that Badger, I’ll check it out. Will it be a full house tonight I wonder.

    1. Bill Pearson
      Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 12:02 pm . Reply

      Dave, Villa Tavern Nechells mate , or even Cook street, Holbourn hill, stacks of places.

    2. andy
      andy September 22, 2015 at 12:34 pm . Reply

      not a chance about 36/37k. villa arent winning the fans back even for a game like this and it seems that most of brum are arm chair supporters

  3. Dave.C
    Dave.C September 22, 2015 at 12:31 pm . Reply

    Thanks Bill, I happened upon Star City a few years ago when I took my lad there after a game, keep going back by habit I guess. Parked in University for the Man U game though and got charged £5, I hate paying for footy game parking, I pay enough in fuel coming up from Hereford!!

  4. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 1:17 pm . Reply

    Don’t blame you Dave I don’t like paying for car spaces, Aston Church road going towards Aston Station and crossing Nechells park road you’ll find free spaces one being The Villa tavern and all the side streets, how do I know ? I was born in Cook Street Dave, and the pub is handy for a beverage, best of luck I’m not going live in Nuneaton now and watching it on the box.

  5. little8
    little8 September 22, 2015 at 1:34 pm . Reply

    Shows how we have no confidence in the team judging by the poll ffs.

    1. andy
      andy September 22, 2015 at 1:43 pm . Reply

      lets face it we look like a team that is scared and have never played with each other before.
      sanchez completes more passes than ive won the lottery and hate to say it but grealish is getting too big headed. but what do we fans know

  6. steve
    steve September 22, 2015 at 2:47 pm . Reply

    Question

    Has Gabby got more kids than goals in the last 12 months ?

    1. andy
      andy September 22, 2015 at 4:09 pm . Reply

      thats a hard question as i havent got a clue about his kids and i carnt remember him scoring

      1. Hitchens 60
        Hitchens 60 September 22, 2015 at 4:33 pm . Reply

        🙂 🙂

  7. Ardent Villain
    Ardent Villain September 22, 2015 at 3:33 pm . Reply

    This game has come at the wrong time; if we’d managed to hang on to the lead at Leicester I believe things would look much brighter, and City would be for the taking. But as things stand Sherwood’s going to have to really work on getting whatever 11 he names to be up for this one – suspect it might get a bit physical.

    Having said that, the crowd won’t help if they start booing as soon as Small Heath score…

  8. Hitchens 60
    Hitchens 60 September 22, 2015 at 4:32 pm . Reply

    Already posted that ‘tragically they might add insult to a week if injury’.

    I just don’t have any confidence in our ability to put together any kind of result at present coupled with the fact that Blues are playing well then I think we will struggle. My prediction is a draw after extra time but we will lose on penalties.

  9. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 4:45 pm . Reply

    Hitch , they play attacking football and I fear the worst, we don’t have the mentality to match the way they will play. I’m dreading the outcome I really am.

    1. OohAhPaulMcGrath
      OohAhPaulMcGrath September 22, 2015 at 7:07 pm . Reply

      Me too. They will bully us and defensively are miles better

  10. marvin
    marvin September 22, 2015 at 4:50 pm . Reply

    I would be happy if Sherwood tries a 5 at the back today. The last few games it has become apparent that neither of our attacking backs (Amavi – Bacuna) have been able to push up as often as our first few games. If Sherwood can shore up the defense at the expense of ideally Gabby or Sanchez/Westwood we might be able to find that service to our forwards, as well as, allow our many attacking midfielders the time to push forward rather than having to constantly tracking back for defensive duties.

  11. marvin
    marvin September 22, 2015 at 4:52 pm . Reply
  12. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 5:21 pm . Reply

    Interesting that Marvin, glad it was highlighted that substitute with Leicester game as being a cockup.cheers.

  13. originallondonlion
    originallondonlion September 22, 2015 at 6:17 pm . Reply

    Key to the game will be a high tempo IMO. If Villa can keep the ball moving quickly Blues will crack. It is in their interest to slow things down.

    It is possibly to much to ask for but can TS ask somebody – anybody except the back line – to play on the RIGHT WING and give the team some shape?

    1. OohAhPaulMcGrath
      OohAhPaulMcGrath September 22, 2015 at 7:06 pm . Reply

      Is Clarke in midfield if not we are 5 at the back

  14. marvin
    marvin September 22, 2015 at 6:58 pm . Reply

    Guzan, Bacuna, Richards, Lescott, Amavi, Clark, Sinclair, Veretout, Westwood, Agbonlahor, Gestede

    Subs: Bunn, Hutton, Richardson, Ayew, Sanchez, Gil, Grealish

    1. marvin
      marvin September 22, 2015 at 7:02 pm . Reply

      5 at the back it is. No Kozak.

      Personally not sure about starting Gabby and Sinclair with Gestede. It would have been nice to see Gil or Grealish take their spot instead. Nevertheless lets see how this plays out.

      1. OohAhPaulMcGrath
        OohAhPaulMcGrath September 22, 2015 at 7:03 pm . Reply

        Think we will get beat tonight 2.0

  15. bencey83
    bencey83 September 22, 2015 at 7:01 pm . Reply

    Just watched highlights of the 2-0 loss where Dublin got sent off for headbutting Savage – inexcusable! J’Lloyd Samuel gifts them two goals – one with an awful header back to Encklemann. Then a potential leg-breaker from Gudjonsson, that should have been a straight red! And we couldn’t even score against Jeff Horsfield in goals! Let’s hope we don’t get a repeat of that tonight!

    1. OohAhPaulMcGrath
      OohAhPaulMcGrath September 22, 2015 at 7:05 pm . Reply

      That’s the difference between them and us they have a better defence. If they go a goal up we are screwed

  16. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 7:08 pm . Reply

    He’s benched Grealish and Gestede in,

  17. Bill Pearson
    Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 7:13 pm . Reply

    Front 3 Abonglahor, Gestede, Sinclair, behind Bacuna, Westwood Vercoute, shit cannot spell it.

  18. marvin
    marvin September 22, 2015 at 7:47 pm . Reply

    Clark in the midfield, what?

    1. OohAhPaulMcGrath
      OohAhPaulMcGrath September 22, 2015 at 8:16 pm . Reply

      Lescott is shite

  19. KentNielsen77
    KentNielsen77 September 22, 2015 at 8:14 pm . Reply

    Is Sinclair playing for Blues? Woeful.

    1. Bill Pearson
      Bill Pearson September 22, 2015 at 8:27 pm . Reply

      Kent, he’s weak , cannot lay balls off, all in all poor Villa side. Clark useless, we are in trouble.

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